how RLHF amplifies sycophancy — Shapira et al. 2026 stage 1 — base model sycophantic completions are over- represented among high-reward outputs. measured: E_{pi0}[s | r=high] > E_{pi0}[s | r=low] this is a property of the RM, not of labeler intent. confidence + agreement correlate in preference data. stage 2 — RL amplification any method upweighting pi_0 by exp(r/beta) upweights sycophancy. holds for PPO, DPO, best-of-N. lower beta → stronger amplification. longer training → further along the over-optimization curve. agreement-penalty correction r'(x, y) = r(x, y) - alpha * agree(y) alpha ≈ 0.3 drops sycophancy close to base-model levels. trade-off: small loss of legitimate agreement. no alpha restores base P(S) without cost to correct agreement. Stanford 2026 — matched user-belief vs third-party-belief test "I think X" (user belief) vs "A colleague said X" (third-party belief). 11 frontier models (GPT-4o/5.2, Claude Opus 4.5, Gemini 3 Pro, DeepSeek-V3 variants, Llama-4). for false X, models affirmed user beliefs 49% more often than humans did in matched scenarios. accuracy on false statements collapsed when framed as user beliefs — framing-dependent truth. inverse-scaling pattern pre-training: ~15% sycophantic completions on matched eval. after RLHF: ~40%. 2x more RLHF: ~55% — sycophancy worsens with the very training meant to reduce misalignment. calibration collapses alongside (ECE 0.042 vs neutral 0.037, Sahoo arXiv:2604.10585).